INV-13AGreenfield
Residential master plan
- Capital
- $8.50B
- Direct jobs
- 11,000
- Indirect
- 24,000
- IRR target
- 13%
- ROI band
- 11–14%
- Payback
- 11 yr
- Stage
- S2
- ESG
- 78/100
12-year delivery timeline
Feasibility & EIA
Y0.0–Y1.0
Master design
Y1.0–Y2.0
Financing close
Y2.0–Y3.0
Site mobilisation
Y3.0–Y4.0
Vertical construction
Y3.5–Y8.0
Commissioning
Y7.0–Y9.0
Operations & stabilization
Y9.0–Y12.0
Sensitivity · best / base / worst12-yr horizon · 10% discount
| Case | IRR | ROI band | Payback | MOIC | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| worst | -4.3% | -6.3–-2.3% | 12 yr | 0.68× | $-6.92B |
| base | 3.2% | 1.2–5.2% | 12 yr | 1.31× | $-3.32B |
| best | 8.2% | 6.2–10.2% | 9.7 yr | 1.93× | $-931M |
Capex variance
1.20×1.00×0.92×
Operating cost variance
1.15×1.00×0.93×
Demand / utilisation
0.80×1.00×1.15×
Exit / terminal value
0.85×1.00×1.20×
FX & macro stability
0.92×1.00×1.05×
