INV-11APPP
International university PPP
- Capital
- $1.80B
- Direct jobs
- 8,400
- Indirect
- 12,000
- IRR target
- 9%
- ROI band
- 7–10%
- Payback
- 16 yr
- Stage
- S3
- ESG
- 96/100
12-year delivery timeline
Feasibility & EIA
Y0.0–Y0.5
Master design
Y1.0–Y2.0
Financing close
Y2.0–Y3.0
Site mobilisation
Y3.0–Y4.0
Vertical construction
Y3.5–Y6.0
Commissioning
Y5.5–Y7.0
Operations & stabilization
Y7.0–Y12.0
Sensitivity · best / base / worst12-yr horizon · 10% discount
| Case | IRR | ROI band | Payback | MOIC | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| worst | -8.1% | -10.1–-6.1% | 12 yr | 0.47× | $-1.68B |
| base | -1.2% | -3.2–0.8% | 12 yr | 0.9× | $-1.05B |
| best | 3.3% | 1.3–5.3% | 12 yr | 1.33× | $-653M |
Capex variance
1.20×1.00×0.92×
Operating cost variance
1.15×1.00×0.93×
Demand / utilisation
0.80×1.00×1.15×
Exit / terminal value
0.85×1.00×1.20×
FX & macro stability
0.92×1.00×1.05×
