INV-10APPP
Olympic stadium PPP
- Capital
- $1.70B
- Direct jobs
- 3,800
- Indirect
- 7,400
- IRR target
- 10%
- ROI band
- 8–11%
- Payback
- 14 yr
- Stage
- S2
- ESG
- 80/100
12-year delivery timeline
Feasibility & EIA
Y0.0–Y1.0
Master design
Y1.0–Y2.0
Financing close
Y2.0–Y3.0
Site mobilisation
Y3.0–Y4.0
Vertical construction
Y3.5–Y6.0
Commissioning
Y5.5–Y7.0
Operations & stabilization
Y7.0–Y12.0
Sensitivity · best / base / worst12-yr horizon · 10% discount
| Case | IRR | ROI band | Payback | MOIC | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| worst | -6.8% | -8.8–-4.8% | 12 yr | 0.53× | $-1.53B |
| base | 0.3% | -1.7–2.3% | 12 yr | 1.03× | $-886M |
| best | 5% | 3–7% | 12 yr | 1.52× | $-481M |
Capex variance
1.20×1.00×0.92×
Operating cost variance
1.15×1.00×0.93×
Demand / utilisation
0.80×1.00×1.15×
Exit / terminal value
0.85×1.00×1.20×
FX & macro stability
0.92×1.00×1.05×
