INV-08AConcession
Dry port concession
- Capital
- $1.90B
- Direct jobs
- 6,400
- Indirect
- 12,000
- IRR target
- 12%
- ROI band
- 11–14%
- Payback
- 12 yr
- Stage
- S3
- ESG
- 76/100
12-year delivery timeline
Feasibility & EIA
Y0.0–Y0.5
Master design
Y1.0–Y2.0
Financing close
Y2.0–Y3.0
Site mobilisation
Y3.0–Y4.0
Vertical construction
Y3.5–Y6.0
Commissioning
Y5.5–Y7.0
Operations & stabilization
Y7.0–Y12.0
Sensitivity · best / base / worst12-yr horizon · 10% discount
| Case | IRR | ROI band | Payback | MOIC | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| worst | -5.2% | -7.2–-3.2% | 12 yr | 0.62× | $-1.61B |
| base | 2.2% | 0.2–4.2% | 12 yr | 1.2× | $-838M |
| best | 7% | 5–9% | 11 yr | 1.77× | $-336M |
Capex variance
1.20×1.00×0.92×
Operating cost variance
1.15×1.00×0.93×
Demand / utilisation
0.80×1.00×1.15×
Exit / terminal value
0.85×1.00×1.20×
FX & macro stability
0.92×1.00×1.05×




